Tuesday, July 5, 2011

WNR - target hit - profit taken

Glory to GOD - another profit!


This is just a great trade, got in the trade and the next trading day, the target is hit.  Doesn't get much better than that.

I bought the option for $1.92 and sold it today for $2.20 for a profit of $0.28 and an ROI% of 14%.

These ROI% and profit may seem small, but you must understand the numbers.  I trade a small account (for now - yes, it's growing, so someday I won't be able to say this), so I'm only buying 1-2 contracts at a time in order to keep my risk low and manage my portfolio in a safe way.  The last thing I want to do is load up on contracts and risk a large percentage of my account in any one trade - because the market CAN DO ANYTHING AT ANYTIME and I don't want to be "all in" and get clobbered.

These ROI% do apply to any account size, which is why I concentrate on ROI%.  If I had purchased 10 contracts instead of 1, then I would have still made 14% ROI, but my profit would have been $280.

Also, you have to trade based on edges and consistency.  Think of it like baseball, the BEST of the BEST get around 3 hits out of 10 times at bat - those hits include simple base hits - not all home runs.  

OR, you can think of it like a casino.  The casino makes a TON of money off their slot machines.  The slot machines only have roughly 3-7% edge over the player.  So, out of $100 played through the machine by a player, theoretically, the casino would make $3 - $7.  That doesn't sound much, but it works.  If you've ever been to, or seen video/pics, of Las Vegas you will understand that those little percentages/edges work VERY WELL.

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